Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 307.348152 349.472170 396.867570 454.458359 522.965903 602.375893 702.149866
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 237.897697 289.956890 353.998087 439.732818 553.295995 701.174756 912.750100
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 200.645007 255.322914 326.479551 427.948044 572.462963 776.639686 1097.971711
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 182.762342 241.171453 320.921593 441.092236 623.746629 902.016326 1381.877532
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 166.004426 225.528544 310.020957 443.270539 657.247845 1005.282336 1656.808822
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 149.809703 208.360681 294.139076 434.607192 670.868812 1077.456350 1896.230462
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 138.767282 197.284382 285.601715 435.525702 699.304913 1179.411209 2221.120360
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 127.118460 183.986689 271.937237 425.773640 706.929773 1243.974949 2488.793871
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 118.652269 174.733267 263.552921 423.556454 727.310789 1336.735699 2850.220915
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 107.851316 160.813613 246.144573 403.199676 709.832375 1348.107199 3019.427101
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 105.151316 159.700551 249.860866 421.253412 770.490010 1540.193942 3733.051726
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.615282 160.310770 256.473630 445.438992 848.036024 1791.084730 4739.826820
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 98.221338 154.114117 250.802573 445.719361 875.736580 1933.233913 5503.691358
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 91.387032 144.942567 239.004737 432.429983 871.017334 1992.338809 6024.448220
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.468849 136.936440 228.636965 420.803900 868.176361 2056.150156 6605.390712
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 83.220783 135.263069 229.899954 433.678964 926.619206 2311.110894 8146.870970
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.848668 131.294142 226.406501 435.810679 958.710783 2498.638613 9557.767884
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.557795 125.341571 218.555603 427.329914 961.737654 2595.787491 10616.960248
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.635848 121.734661 215.030981 428.229111 990.197987 2787.829575 12391.302595
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 68.859651 116.280434 207.375782 418.681525 988.076570 2873.262379 13636.367046
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 66.097854 112.590981 203.035657 416.510663 1006.811835 3042.871857 15650.878753
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 61.834211 105.778668 191.796575 396.576282 970.171550 2989.841824 16031.328141
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 61.328792 106.228699 195.725611 414.255673 1050.271796 3433.732020 20973.106691